LA-03 House winner? (2028) Odds · LA-03
Kalshi traders give Republican party a 93% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican party | 93% | -1233 | ▲ 97 |
| Democratic party | 7% | +1318 | ▲ 10 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If the House member sworn in for the 3rd District of Louisiana for the term beginning in 2029 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in LA-03 House winner? (2028)?
As of Nov 8, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Republican party at 93%, about -1233 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists May 7, 2029 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on LA-03 House winner? (2028)?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.