How many Texas counties will James Talarico win in 2026 Odds · Nov 3, 2026 Senate general election
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 20 | >99% | -19900 | — |
| At least 22 | >99% | -19900 | — |
| At least 24 | >99% | -19900 | — |
| At least 26 | >99% | -19900 | — |
| At least 28 | >99% | -19900 | — |
| At least 30 | >99% | -19900 | ▲ 1 |
| At least 32 | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| At least 34 | 99% | -6567 | ▲ 1 |
| At least 36 | 0% | — | — |
| At least 38 | 99% | -9900 | — |
| At least 40 | 95% | -1900 | ▲ 63 |
| At least 42 | 3% | +3900 | — |
| At least 44 | 1% | +9900 | — |
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Resolution rules
If the number of Texas counties won by James Talarico is at least 20 in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Mar 7, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
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