How many Republican-favored Senate races will Republicans win Odds · at the November 3, 2026 general election
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 11 | >99% | -19900 | — |
| At least 12 | >99% | -19900 | — |
| All 13 | 2% | +6567 | — |
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Resolution rules
If the number of the 13 Republican-favored 2026 U.S. Senate general elections (including special elections) listed in the Additional Details won by a nominee of the Republican Party is at least 11 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Mar 15, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
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