How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms Odds · of the 435 seats up in the 2026 U.S. House elections, based on media calls
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 210 ✓ | 97% | -3233 | — |
| At least 214 ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| At least 218 ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| At least 222 ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| At least 226 ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| At least 230 ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| At least 234 ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| At least 238 ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| At least 242 ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| At least 246 ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| At least 250 ✓ | 98% | -4900 | — |
| At least 254 | >99% | -19900 | — |
| At least 258 | 98% | -3900 | ▲ 1 |
| At least 262 | 11% | +809 | ▼ 17 |
| At least 266 | <1% | +19900 | — |
| At least 270 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| At least 274 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| At least 278 | 1% | +9900 | — |
We may earn a commission if you sign up or trade through links to venues. It never changes the prices or rankings we show. 18+ (21+ where required). Only trade where prediction markets are legal for you. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. How we make money
Price history
Resolution rules
If the number of U.S. House seats won by Democratic Party candidates is at least 210 in the 2026 U.S. House elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Feb 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.