Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Odds
Polymarket traders give Lula, Eizenkot, Dems a 66% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lula, Eizenkot, Dems | 66% | -192 | ▲ 4 |
| Lula, Netanyahu, Dems | 17% | +497 | ▼ 1 |
| Lula, Bennett, Dems | <1% | +33233 | ▼ 1 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
The runoff round of the Brazilian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. Legislative elections in Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. The United States midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches all three of the following: the winner of the Brazilian presidential election, the first Prime Minister of Israel to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the midterm elections. For full rules for the Brazilian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election For full rules for the Israeli Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election For full rules for the United States Senate control, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026 Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve according to the sources named in the three markets linked above.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate?
As of Nov 8, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Lula, Eizenkot, Dems at 66%, about -192 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 4, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.