CA-07 House winner Odds · In 2026
Kalshi traders give Doris Matsui a 98% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Doris Matsui | 98% | -3900 | ▼ 1 |
| Mai Vang | 3% | +3900 | ▲ 1 |
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Price history
On Polymarket
The same question also trades on Polymarket. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
If Doris Matsui wins the 2026 CA-07 House election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in CA-07 House winner?
As of Nov 8, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Doris Matsui at 98%, about -3900 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 1, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on CA-07 House winner?
This market trades on Kalshi and a matching market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.