2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner Odds · In 2028
Kalshi traders give Jon Ossoff a 23% chance (Polymarket: 18%).
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Ossoff | 23% | +344 | ▲ 3 | 18% |
| J.D. Vance | 14% | +641 | ▲ 2 | 18% |
| Marco Rubio | 11% | +852 | ▼ 2 | 10% |
| Gavin Newsom | 10% | +926 | — | 7% |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 10% | +947 | — | 12% |
| Ron DeSantis | 7% | +1381 | — | 6% |
| Kamala Harris | 4% | +2497 | — | 4% |
| Andy Beshear | 3% | +2841 | — | 2% |
| James Talarico | 3% | +3471 | — | 1% |
| Pete Buttigieg | 3% | +3536 | — | 2% |
| Josh Shapiro | 2% | +3982 | — | 3% |
| John McEntee | 2% | +4344 | — | — |
| Raphael Warnock | 2% | +5305 | — | 1% |
| Wes Moore | 2% | +5305 | — | 1% |
| Mark Kelly | 2% | +5305 | — | <1% |
| J.B. Pritzker | 2% | +5614 | — | <1% |
| Donald J. Trump | 1% | +6797 | — | — |
| Tucker Carlson | 1% | +8233 | — | 1% |
| Rahm Emanuel | 1% | +8596 | — | <1% |
| Tulsi Gabbard | <1% | +11665 | — | <1% |
| Thomas Massie | <1% | +11665 | — | 2% |
| Gretchen Whitmer | <1% | +13233 | — | <1% |
| Glenn Youngkin | <1% | +13233 | — | <1% |
| Abdul El-Sayed | <1% | +15285 | — | — |
| Ted Cruz | <1% | +16567 | — | <1% |
| Nikki Haley | <1% | +18082 | — | <1% |
| Ro Khanna | <1% | +19900 | — | <1% |
| Donald J. Trump Jr. | <1% | +22122 | — | — |
| Jamie Dimon | <1% | +22122 | — | <1% |
| Brian Kemp | <1% | +22122 | — | — |
| Michelle Obama | <1% | +24900 | — | <1% |
| Joe Kent | <1% | +28471 | — | — |
| Ivanka Trump | <1% | +33233 | — | <1% |
| Rand Paul | <1% | +33233 | — | — |
| Stephen A. Smith | <1% | +39900 | — | — |
| Cory Booker | <1% | +39900 | — | — |
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | <1% | +39900 | — | — |
| Byron Donalds | <1% | +49900 | — | — |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | <1% | +66567 | — | <1% |
| Greg Abbott | <1% | +66567 | — | <1% |
Showing the top 40 of 51 outcomes.
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Price history
On Polymarket
The same question also trades on Polymarket. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
If Gavin Newsom is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
As of Nov 8, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Jon Ossoff at 23%, about +344 in American odds. On Polymarket the same outcome trades at 18%. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 21, 2029 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
This market trades on Kalshi and a matching market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.