Will PP and Vox win 50% of the vote in Spain's election Odds · Vote Percent - PP and Vox combined
Kalshi traders give No a 51% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49% | +104 | ▼ 11 |
| No | 51% | -104 | ▲ 11 |
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Price history
On Polymarket
A similar market trades on Polymarket. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by the People's Party and Vox combined in the 2026 Spanish general election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "Will PP and Vox win 50% of the vote in Spain's election"?
As of Nov 8, 6:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price No at 51%, about -104 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 15, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Will PP and Vox win 50% of the vote in Spain's election?
This market trades on Kalshi and a matching market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.