Scarborough North By-Election Winner Odds
Polymarket traders give James Li a 98% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Li | 98% | -4445 | ▲ 2 |
| Gurmit Sandhu | 3% | +2977 | ▼ 1 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of Scarborough North is currently scheduled to be held on December 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough North by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Scarborough North By-Election Winner?
As of Nov 8, 9:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price James Li at 98%, about -4445 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Dec 7, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Scarborough North By-Election Winner?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.