What will Trump say in November Odds
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Make Iran Great Again | 41% | +144 | — | — |
| Autism | 39% | +156 | ▼ 7 | 55% |
| Peace in the Middle East | 46% | +117 | — | — |
| Third Term | 56% | -130 | ▲ 1 | — |
| Epstein | 27% | +277 | ▼ 3 | — |
| Rocket Man | 28% | +251 | ▲ 17 | — |
| Golden Dome | 27% | +277 | ▼ 2 | 25% |
| Shark | 47% | +115 | — | — |
| Keep America Great | 98% | -3900 | ▲ 5 | — |
| Nazi | 51% | -104 | — | — |
| Clown | 64% | -178 | — | — |
| Gay | 59% | -144 | ▼ 0 | — |
| Shut Up | 60% | -147 | ▼ 5 | — |
| Prediction | 40% | +153 | ▼ 7 | — |
| Refund | 50% | -100 | — | — |
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Price history
On Kalshi
The same question also trades on Kalshi. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between November 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A 'mention' will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Dec 1, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on What will Trump say in November?
This market trades on Polymarket and a matching market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.