Will Trump run for a third term Odds · 2028 President of the United States race
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2027 | 3% | +3746 | — |
| Before 2028 | 3% | +3348 | ▼ 1 |
| Before Election Day | 9% | +993 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Donald Trump has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 1, 2028 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Will Trump run for a third term?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.