Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on November 10 Odds
Polymarket traders give “Yes” a >99% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | >99% | -22122 | ▲ 36 |
| No | <1% | +22122 | ▼ 36 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. A qualifying full lid may be reported by the resolution sources through 11:59 PM ET on the following day, provided the source indicates that it was called by the 6:30 PM ET cutoff. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on November 10"?
As of Nov 11, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Yes at >99%, about -22122 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 11, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on November 10?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.