Anthropic IPO Date Odds
Polymarket traders give November 20 a 34% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| November 20 | 34% | +194 | ▲ 13 |
| No IPO by November 30, 2026 | 22% | +365 | — |
| November 19 | 11% | +809 | ▼ 1 |
| November 24 | 9% | +964 | ▲ 2 |
| November 18 | 9% | +1011 | ▲ 3 |
| November 23 | 4% | +2567 | — |
| November 25 | 1% | +8991 | ▼ 4 |
| November 13 or earlier | <1% | +14186 | — |
| November 16 | <1% | +16567 | ▼ 2 |
| November 17 | <1% | +16567 | ▼ 3 |
| November 27 | <1% | +16567 | — |
| November 30 | <1% | +19900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve based on the date, in Eastern Time, that Anthropic launches its Initial Public Offering (IPO). An IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange. If no IPO occurs by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by November 30, 2026". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Anthropic IPO Date?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price November 20 at 34%, about +194 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Dec 1, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Anthropic IPO Date?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.