US crude oil inventories for the week ending November 6, 2026 Odds · the week ending Nov 6, 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 403 million barrels | 98% | -4900 | ▲ 4 |
| Above 404 million barrels | 98% | -4900 | ▲ 5 |
| Above 405 million barrels | 97% | -2757 | ▲ 95 |
| Above 406 million barrels | 98% | -3900 | ▲ 97 |
| Above 407 million barrels | 98% | -4900 | ▲ 11 |
| Above 408 million barrels | 98% | -4900 | ▲ 94 |
| Above 409 million barrels | 92% | -1076 | ▲ 23 |
| Above 410 million barrels | 85% | -567 | ▲ 30 |
| Above 411 million barrels | 89% | -809 | ▲ 32 |
| Above 412 million barrels | 90% | -900 | ▲ 55 |
| Above 413 million barrels | 93% | -1329 | ▲ 1 |
| Above 414 million barrels | 55% | -122 | ▲ 28 |
| Above 415 million barrels | 60% | -150 | ▲ 42 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Nov 6, 2026 are strictly above 403 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 18, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on US crude oil inventories for the week ending November 6, 2026?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.