Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman Odds
Polymarket traders give No a 90% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 10% | +880 | — |
| No | 90% | -880 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman"?
As of Nov 11, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price No at 90%, about -880 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 8, 2028 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.