Who will be the next President of the Brazilian Senate Odds
Polymarket traders give Davi Alcolumbre a 55% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Davi Alcolumbre | 55% | -120 | ▼ 14 |
| Tereza Cristina | 26% | +285 | ▲ 9 |
| Rogério Marinho | 21% | +376 | ▼ 0 |
| No president by Feb 28 | 5% | +1861 | ▼ 1 |
| Renan Calheiros | 4% | +2567 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
Following the Brazilian general election held on October 4, 2026, the Federal Senate of Brazil is set to hold an internal election for the position of President of the Brazilian Senate. This market will resolve according to the name of the candidate that becomes President of the Brazilian Senate as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Presidents appointed before the election will not count. If this election does not take place or the results of this election are not known by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No president by Feb 28". This market will resolve based on official information from the Federal Senate of Brazil or a consensus of credible reporting.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Who will be the next President of the Brazilian Senate?
As of Nov 11, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Davi Alcolumbre at 55%, about -120 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Mar 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Who will be the next President of the Brazilian Senate?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.