Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027 Odds
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Israel | 13% | +660 | ▲ 7 |
| United States | 6% | +1539 | — |
| Italy | 7% | +1438 | ▼ 1 |
| The Netherlands | 7% | +1329 | — |
| Japan | 2% | +5305 | — |
| Germany | 4% | +2253 | — |
| Belgium | 7% | +1329 | ▼ 0 |
| Finland | 5% | +2122 | — |
| Austria | 4% | +2199 | ▲ 1 |
| Greece | 4% | +2532 | — |
| New Zealand | 8% | +1233 | ▼ 0 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.