Texas Senate Election: Collin County Winner Odds
This market has resolved: James Talarico (D). Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Talarico (D) ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 31 |
| Ken Paxton (R) | 0% | — | ▼ 16 |
| Person A | 0% | — | — |
| Person B | 0% | — | — |
| Person C | 0% | — | — |
| Person D | 0% | — | — |
| Person E | 0% | — | — |
| Person F | 0% | — | — |
| Person G | 0% | — | — |
| Person H | 0% | — | — |
| Person I | 0% | — | — |
| Person J | 0% | — | — |
| Other | 0% | — | — |
Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Collin County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Collin County.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 3, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on Texas Senate Election: Collin County Winner?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.