Sweden snap election called in 2026 Odds
Polymarket traders give No a 80% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 21% | +388 | ▲ 1 |
| No | 80% | -388 | ▼ 0 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Sweden between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal ordering of an extraordinary election, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Riksdag before the next scheduled ordinary Riksdag election. An extraordinary election ordered by the Government, an extraordinary election formally scheduled by the Speaker following the Riksdag's rejection of the Speaker's proposal for Prime Minister four times, and any other means provided for by the Instrument of Government all qualify. An announcement of an intention to order an extraordinary election, a failed vote on a proposed Prime Minister, or the failure of coalition negotiations will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The fourth rejection of a proposed Prime Minister will not qualify until the resulting extraordinary election is formally scheduled. The election need not take place by the deadline. Once a qualifying election is formally ordered or scheduled, its subsequent cancellation or postponement will not affect resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "Sweden snap election called in 2026"?
As of Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price No at 80%, about -388 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Sweden snap election called in 2026?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.