Spanish general election: People's Party vote percent Odds · Vote Percent - People's Party
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 26% | 95% | -1900 | — |
| At least 28% | 90% | -900 | — |
| At least 29% | 0% | — | — |
| At least 30% | 73% | -264 | ▲ 69 |
| At least 31% | 45% | +120 | — |
| At least 32% | 39% | +156 | — |
| At least 33% | 25% | +300 | — |
| At least 34% | 16% | +545 | — |
| At least 35% | 10% | +900 | — |
| At least 36% | 10% | +900 | ▲ 1 |
| At least 37% | 3% | +3233 | — |
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Resolution rules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election is 26% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 15, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Spanish general election: People's Party vote percent?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.