Spain General Election: Turnout Odds
Polymarket traders give 70%+ a 28% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70%+ | 28% | +251 | ▲ 1 |
| 68-70% | 27% | +270 | — |
| 66-68% | 22% | +355 | ▲ 1 |
| 64-66% | 16% | +533 | — |
| 62-64% | 10% | +900 | — |
| <62% | 5% | +2122 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
A general election is scheduled to be held in Spain on November 29, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Spanish general election to the Congress of Deputies, defined as the total number of votes cast (votantes) divided by the total number of registered voters (electores). (see 2023 example: https://www.boe.es/boe/dias/2023/09/01/pdfs/BOE-A-2023-18907.pdf) If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the Spanish government, including the Spanish Ministry of the Interior (https://infoelectoral.interior.gob.es/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Spain General Election: Turnout?
As of Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price 70%+ at 28%, about +251 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 30, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Spain General Election: Turnout?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.