Serbian presidential election called by... Odds
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| November 30 | >99% | -18082 | — |
| November 15 | 38% | +163 | ▼ 0 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
On September 27, 2026, Aleksandar Vučić resigned as President of Serbia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Serbian presidential election is called by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An election is called when it has been declared under the relevant Serbian electoral, legal, or constitutional procedures, to take place on a specific date, and the date of the election has been publicly announced. A statement of intention to call the election will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Serbia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 1, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Serbian presidential election called by...?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.