Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton By-Election Winner Odds
Polymarket traders give Caroline Émond a 63% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Émond | 63% | -167 | ▼ 6 |
| Chantal Soucy | 38% | +163 | ▲ 10 |
| Luc Brodeur-Jourdain | 1% | +8596 | ▼ 1 |
| Mathieu Boisvert | <1% | +10426 | ▼ 2 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton is currently scheduled to be held on December 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton By-Election Winner?
As of Nov 11, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Caroline Émond at 63%, about -167 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Dec 7, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton By-Election Winner?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.