Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner Odds
This market has resolved: Cadu de Lula. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cadu de Lula ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 61 |
| Allyson | 0% | — | ▼ 60 |
| Álvaro Dias | 0% | — | — |
| Arinalda do MLB | 0% | — | — |
| Carlos Jararaca | 0% | — | — |
| Dário Barbosa | 0% | — | — |
| Henrique Lyra | 0% | — | — |
| Professor Roberio Paulino | 0% | — | — |
| Rodrigo Bolsonaro | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 1 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 2 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 3 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 4 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 5 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 6 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 7 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 8 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 9 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 10 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 11 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 12 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 13 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 14 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 15 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 16 | 0% | — | — |
| Other | 0% | — | — |
Price history
Resolution rules
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Oct 26, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.