Republican VP Nominee 2028 Odds
Polymarket traders give Tucker Carlson a 24% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Carlson | 24% | +316 | — | — |
| Marco Rubio | 16% | +525 | ▼ 8 | 16% |
| Rand Paul | 13% | +672 | — | — |
| Katie Britt | 11% | +835 | ▲ 1 | 4% |
| Pete Hegseth | 9% | +1017 | — | — |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | 8% | +1216 | — | — |
| Thomas Massie | 7% | +1289 | — | — |
| J.D. Vance | 5% | +2074 | ▼ 1 | 4% |
| Donald Trump Jr. | 4% | +2432 | — | — |
| Ivanka Trump | 4% | +2757 | — | — |
| Josh Hawley | 3% | +2799 | — | 1% |
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | 3% | +2841 | — | — |
| Donald Trump | 3% | +2885 | ▼ 1 | — |
| Greg Abbott | 3% | +2977 | — | <1% |
| Glenn Youngkin | 3% | +3025 | — | 3% |
| Elon Musk | 3% | +3746 | ▼ 4 | 1% |
| Joe Kent | 3% | +3822 | — | — |
| Brian Kemp | 2% | +4344 | ▼ 1 | 1% |
| Kristi Noem | 2% | +4344 | — | — |
| Ted Cruz | 2% | +4445 | — | 1% |
| Ron DeSantis | 2% | +4551 | — | 3% |
| Byron Donalds | 2% | +4778 | — | 3% |
| Sarah Huckabee Sanders | 2% | +5782 | — | 3% |
| Elise Stefanik | 2% | +5782 | — | 1% |
| Nikki Haley | 2% | +6567 | — | 2% |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 1% | +6797 | — | 2% |
| Eric Trump | 1% | +6797 | — | — |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 1% | +8596 | — | <1% |
| Erika Kirk | 1% | +8596 | — | 4% |
| Mike Pence | 1% | +8991 | — | — |
| Kim Kardashian | 1% | +8991 | — | — |
| Matt Gaetz | <1% | +10426 | — | <1% |
| John Thune | <1% | +13233 | — | <1% |
| Steve Bannon | <1% | +22122 | — | — |
| Tom Brady | <1% | +24900 | — | — |
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Price history
On Kalshi
The same question also trades on Kalshi. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Republican VP Nominee 2028?
As of Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Tucker Carlson at 24%, about +316 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 8, 2028 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Republican VP Nominee 2028?
This market trades on Polymarket and a matching market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.