Nuevo León Congress Election Winner Odds
Polymarket traders give MC a 40% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| MC | 40% | +150 | — |
| Morena | 28% | +257 | — |
| PAN | 15% | +567 | ▼ 4 |
| PRI | 10% | +953 | ▲ 2 |
| PVEM | 9% | +1011 | ▲ 1 |
| PT | 8% | +1233 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
Legislative elections to elect the 42 members of the Congress of the State of Nuevo León are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Nuevo León as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Estatal Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de Nuevo León. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Estatal Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de Nuevo León, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Instituto Estatal Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de Nuevo León (https://www.ieepcnl.mx/).
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Nuevo León Congress Election Winner?
As of Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price MC at 40%, about +150 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jun 7, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Nuevo León Congress Election Winner?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.