Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027 Odds
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 8% | +1233 | — |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 8% | +1174 | — |
| Yulia Navalnaya | 10% | +953 | — |
| Pope Leo XIV | 8% | +1158 | — |
| Greta Thunberg | 2% | +5163 | — |
| Elon Musk | 3% | +3290 | — |
| Julian Assange | 5% | +2074 | — |
| António Guterres | 3% | +2885 | — |
| Jimmy Lai | 11% | +852 | — |
| Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya | 8% | +1150 | — |
| UNRWA | 8% | +1225 | — |
| International Court of Justice | 4% | +2147 | — |
| International Criminal Court | 6% | +1450 | — |
| Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms | 11% | +843 | — |
| Committee to Protect Journalists | 10% | +900 | ▼ 0 |
| Doctors Without Borders | 3% | +3025 | — |
| Melania Trump | 6% | +1595 | — |
We may earn a commission if you sign up or trade through links to venues. It never changes the prices or rankings we show. 18+ (21+ where required). Only trade where prediction markets are legal for you. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. How we make money
Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual or organization is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the prize is awarded jointly, each listed individual or organization named among the recipients will resolve to "Yes". This market is not limited to a single winner. If no official announcement regarding the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Apr 1, 2028 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.