Next US Senate Minority Leader Odds
Polymarket traders give John Thune a 93% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Thune | 93% | -1233 | — |
| Tom Cotton | 1% | +7592 | — |
| John Barrasso | <1% | +11011 | ▼ 2 |
| Patty Murray | <1% | +14186 | — |
| Rick Scott | <1% | +14186 | — |
| Mark Kelly | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Chuck Schumer | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Brian Schatz | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Cory Booker | <1% | +199900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the individual who is chosen to be the first Senate Minority Leader in the Congress that convenes after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. If no Senate Minority Leader is chosen by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be official information from the United States Senate or official announcements from the caucus organization of the relevant party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Next US Senate Minority Leader?
As of Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price John Thune at 93%, about -1233 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 3, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Next US Senate Minority Leader?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.