Next Israeli election called by... Odds
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 9% | +1076 | ▼ 1 |
| March 31, 2027 | 34% | +194 | ▼ 6 |
| December 31, 2027 | 61% | -156 | ▼ 1 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a legislative snap election is called in Israel between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a legislative snap election requires the formal dissolution of the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, or any other formal scheduling, according to Israeli law, of a new election for all members of the Knesset, other than the next regularly scheduled Knesset election. An election called before the 26th Knesset convenes, including a repeat of the October 27, 2026 election, will also qualify; re-votes limited to individual polling stations will not. An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The election need not take place by the deadline. Once a qualifying election is formally called, its subsequent cancellation or postponement will not affect resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and the Knesset; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2028 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Next Israeli election called by...?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.