Midterms: Biggest blue wave since 2008 Odds · In 2026
Kalshi traders give “Yes” a 96% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 96% | -2122 | — |
| No | 4% | +2122 | — |
We may earn a commission if you sign up or trade through links to venues. It never changes the prices or rankings we show. 18+ (21+ where required). Only trade where prediction markets are legal for you. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. How we make money
Price history
Resolution rules
If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 250 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 56 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "Midterms: Biggest blue wave since 2008"?
As of Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Yes at 96%, about -2122 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Feb 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Midterms: Biggest blue wave since 2008?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.