Mexico Legislative Election Winner Odds
Polymarket traders give Morena a 89% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morena | 89% | -826 | — |
| PAN | 5% | +1920 | — |
| PRI | 3% | +3900 | — |
| MC | 2% | +4445 | — |
| PVEM | <1% | +33233 | — |
| PT | <1% | +66567 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Mexico Legislative Election Winner?
As of Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Morena at 89%, about -826 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jun 7, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Mexico Legislative Election Winner?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.