Mayor of Johannesburg after municipal elections Odds · in 2026
Kalshi traders give Helen Zille a 43% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Helen Zille | 43% | +135 | ▼ 32 |
| Herman Mashaba | 16% | +525 | ▲ 13 |
| Frank Chikane | 3% | +3233 | — |
| Dada Morero | 3% | +3233 | — |
| Loyiso Masuku | 3% | +3233 | — |
| David Makhura | 3% | +3233 | — |
| Kenny Kunene | 2% | +4900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Helen Zille wins the next Johannesburg mayoral election following the 2026 municipal elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Mayor of Johannesburg after municipal elections?
As of Nov 11, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Helen Zille at 43%, about +135 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 31, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Mayor of Johannesburg after municipal elections?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.