Maine: Pingree's margin vs. Jackson's margin Odds · On Nov 3, 2026
Kalshi traders give Pingree by 8-12 a 93% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pingree by 8-12 | 93% | -1329 | — |
| Pingree by 4-8 | 11% | +809 | — |
| Pingree by 12-16 | 9% | +1011 | — |
| Pingree by 0-4 | 6% | +1567 | — |
| Pingree by 16-20 | 3% | +3233 | — |
| Pingree by 20+ | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Jackson by 0+ | 1% | +9900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Hannah Pingree's margin in the Maine governor election minus Troy Jackson's margin in the Maine U.S. Senate election is at least 20 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Maine: Pingree's margin vs. Jackson's margin?
As of Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Pingree by 8-12 at 93%, about -1329 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 8, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Maine: Pingree's margin vs. Jackson's margin?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.