Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round Odds
This market has resolved: Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 12 |
| No | 0% | — | ▼ 12 |
Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) and Flávio Bolsonaro participate in the same televised Brazilian presidential debate by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro must each speak at least once in the same debate, televised live. Virtual live participation will qualify. Prerecorded appearances will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the debate, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Oct 24, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.