Lienchiang County Magistrate Election Winner Odds
Polymarket traders give Wang Chung-ming a 75% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wang Chung-ming | 75% | -300 | ▼ 0 |
| Tsao Erh-yuan | 26% | +283 | — |
| Tsao Erh-chang | <1% | +199900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Lienchiang County Magistrate Election Winner?
As of Nov 11, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Wang Chung-ming at 75%, about -300 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 29, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Lienchiang County Magistrate Election Winner?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.