Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027 Odds
Polymarket traders give No a 95% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | +1900 | — |
| No | 95% | -1900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027"?
As of Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price No at 95%, about -1900 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.