LA-05 Republican Primary Winner Odds
Polymarket traders give Michael Echols a 4% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Echols | 4% | +2173 | ▲ 3 |
| Misti Cordell | 3% | +2885 | ▲ 1 |
| Michael Mebruer | 3% | +3746 | — |
| Rick Edmonds | 2% | +4067 | — |
| Austin Magee | 2% | +4248 | ▼ 1 |
| Samuel Wyatt | 2% | +4445 | — |
| Blake Miguez | <1% | +18082 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in LA-05 Republican Primary Winner?
As of Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Michael Echols at 4%, about +2173 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists May 17, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on LA-05 Republican Primary Winner?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.