Israeli Legislative Election: 4th Place Odds
This market has resolved: Joint List. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joint List ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 4 |
| Likud | 0% | — | — |
| Together | 0% | — | — |
| Shas | 0% | — | — |
| Yashar | 0% | — | — |
| The Democrats | 0% | — | — |
| Otzma Yehudit | 0% | — | ▼ 2 |
| Blue and White | 0% | — | — |
| Yisrael Beiteinu | 0% | — | — |
| United Torah Judaism | 0% | — | — |
| RZP-Zehut | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Ra'am | 0% | — | — |
| Amcha Yisrael | 0% | — | — |
| Noam | 0% | — | — |
| The Reservists and the Economic Party | 0% | — | — |
| Party A | 0% | — | — |
| Party B | 0% | — | — |
| Party C | 0% | — | — |
| Party D | 0% | — | — |
| Party E | 0% | — | — |
| Party F | 0% | — | — |
| Party G | 0% | — | — |
| Party H | 0% | — | — |
| Party I | 0% | — | — |
| Party J | 0% | — | — |
| Party K | 0% | — | — |
| Party L | 0% | — | — |
| Party M | 0% | — | — |
| Party N | 0% | — | — |
| Party O | 0% | — | — |
| Party P | 0% | — | — |
| Party Q | 0% | — | — |
| Party R | 0% | — | — |
| Party S | 0% | — | — |
| Party T | 0% | — | — |
| Party U | 0% | — | — |
| Party V | 0% | — | — |
| Party W | 0% | — | — |
| Other | 0% | — | — |
Price history
Resolution rules
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Israeli government, including the Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Oct 28, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on Israeli Legislative Election: 4th Place?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.