How many House members will vote to impeach Pete Hegseth Odds · Before Jan 3, 2027
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 210 | 0% | — | — |
| Above 215 | 70% | -228 | ▲ 13 |
| Above 220 | 60% | -150 | ▼ 15 |
| Above 225 | 44% | +127 | — |
| Above 230 | 25% | +300 | — |
| Above 240 | 15% | +590 | — |
| Above 250 | 8% | +1233 | — |
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Resolution rules
If the number of Representatives voting Yea on adoption of a resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth before Jan 3, 2027 is above 210, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 3, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on How many House members will vote to impeach Pete Hegseth?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.