France United Left Primary Winner Odds
This market has resolved: Canceled. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canceled ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 5 |
| Clémentine Autain | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Lydie Massard | 0% | — | — |
| François Ruffin | 0% | — | ▼ 0 |
| Marine Tondelier | 0% | — | — |
| Other | 0% | — | — |
| Benjamin Lucas-Lundy | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder C | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder D | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder E | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder F | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder G | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder H | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder I | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder J | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder K | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder L | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder M | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder N | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder O | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder P | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder Q | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder R | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder S | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder T | 0% | — | — |
Price history
Resolution rules
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election. This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify. If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Oct 12, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on France United Left Primary Winner?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.