Louisiana-Monroe vs Grand Canyon: Grand Canyon 94% ▲ 97Nicotine product point of sale spend array i… 97% ▲ 97US crude oil inventories for the week ending… 80% ▲ 80How many U.S. reps vote to impeach Hegseth b… 95% ▲ 80Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Jan 1… 4% ▼ 76Pete Hegseth impeached by...: December 31, 2… 3% ▼ 75What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 74% ▲ 75What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 65% ▲ 63Anthropic IPO Date: November 19 80% ▲ 55Will Iran target Oman by...: December 31 76% ▲ 53Hersonissos 3: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Cezar Cre… 60% ▲ 48Will Iran target Oman by...: November 30 74% ▲ 48LG Sakers vs. Seoul Knights: LG Sakers vs Se… 95% ▲ 48What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 50% ▲ 47Next Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released… 79% ▲ 47WTA Finals Doubles, Group 2 (Doubles): Sinia… 94% ▲ 44Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Big Bash League, Women: Perth Scorchers vs S… 89% ▲ 39Lima: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Tomas Barrios: … 71% ▲ 38"You Can See Everything" total domestic gros… 72% ▲ 37"You Can See Everything" total domestic gros… 28% ▼ 37How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: <$… 48% ▲ 35Fed decisions (Oct-Jan): Pause-Hike-Hike 44% ▲ 34Which of these people will be impeached firs… 48% ▼ 33Louisiana-Monroe vs Grand Canyon: Grand Canyon 94% ▲ 97Nicotine product point of sale spend array i… 97% ▲ 97US crude oil inventories for the week ending… 80% ▲ 80How many U.S. reps vote to impeach Hegseth b… 95% ▲ 80Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Jan 1… 4% ▼ 76Pete Hegseth impeached by...: December 31, 2… 3% ▼ 75What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 74% ▲ 75What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 65% ▲ 63Anthropic IPO Date: November 19 80% ▲ 55Will Iran target Oman by...: December 31 76% ▲ 53Hersonissos 3: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Cezar Cre… 60% ▲ 48Will Iran target Oman by...: November 30 74% ▲ 48LG Sakers vs. Seoul Knights: LG Sakers vs Se… 95% ▲ 48What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 50% ▲ 47Next Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released… 79% ▲ 47WTA Finals Doubles, Group 2 (Doubles): Sinia… 94% ▲ 44Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Big Bash League, Women: Perth Scorchers vs S… 89% ▲ 39Lima: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Tomas Barrios: … 71% ▲ 38"You Can See Everything" total domestic gros… 72% ▲ 37"You Can See Everything" total domestic gros… 28% ▼ 37How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: <$… 48% ▲ 35Fed decisions (Oct-Jan): Pause-Hike-Hike 44% ▲ 34Which of these people will be impeached firs… 48% ▼ 33

Campeche Governor Election Winner Odds

Polymarket traders give Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus a 73% chance.

Polymarket Volume $30.9K 24h $0 Liquidity $153K Ends Jun 7, 2027 Updated Nov 11, 5:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus
73% -270 —
Eliseo Fernández Montúfar
15% +578 ▼ 0
Yolanda Valladares Valle
5% +1842 —
Karla Guadalupe Toledo Zamora
1% +8596 —
Biby Rabelo de la Torre
<1% +13233 —
Carlos Ucán Yam
<1% +16567 —
Aníbal Ostoa Ortega
<1% +16567 —
Andrés Fernández del Valle
<1% +16567 —
Daniel Barreda Pavón
<1% +18082 —
Pablo Angulo Briceño
<1% +28471 —
Salvador Farías González
<1% +28471 —
Paul Arce Ontiveros
<1% +28471 —
Christian Castro Bello
<1% +33233 —
Emilio Lara Calderón
<1% +33233 —
Liz Hernández Romero
<1% +39900 —
Armando Toledo Jamit
<1% +39900 —
Rocío Abreu Artiñano
<1% +39900 —
Ricardo Medina Farfán
<1% +39900 —
Ariana Rejón Lara
<1% +39900 —
Francisco Farías Bailón
<1% +39900 —
Martina Kantún Can
<1% +66567 —
Gerardo Sánchez Sansores
<1% +66567 —
Nelly Márquez Zapata
<1% +66567 —
Dulce Dorantes Cervera
<1% +66567 —
Laura Baqueiro Ramos
<1% +199900 —
Rosario Cruz Hernández
<1% +199900 —

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Nov 9 Nov 10
Eliseo Fernández Montúfar

Resolution rules

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Campeche on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

Who is favored in Campeche Governor Election Winner?

As of Nov 11, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus at 73%, about -270 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Polymarket lists Jun 7, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on Campeche Governor Election Winner?

This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.