California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner Odds
Polymarket traders give Fiona Ma a >99% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fiona Ma | >99% | -49900 | ▲ 1 |
| Rakesh Christian | <1% | +49900 | — |
| Sean Collinson | <1% | +49900 | — |
| Josh Fryday | <1% | +49900 | — |
| Ebie Lynch | <1% | +49900 | — |
| Oliver Ma | <1% | +49900 | — |
| Janelle Kellman | <1% | +66567 | — |
| David Collenberg | <1% | +199900 | — |
| David Fennell | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Jeyson Lopez | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Michael Tubbs | <1% | +199900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California lieutenant gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner?
As of Nov 8, 7:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Fiona Ma at >99%, about -49900 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 4, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.