Brazil Presidential Election Odds
This market has resolved: Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 79 |
| Tarcisio de Freitas | 0% | — | — |
| Jair Bolsonaro | 0% | — | — |
| Fernando Haddad | 0% | — | — |
| Michelle Bolsonaro | 0% | — | — |
| Eduardo Bolsonaro | 0% | — | — |
| Ratinho Júnior | 0% | — | — |
| Renan Santos | 0% | — | — |
| Flávio Bolsonaro | 0% | — | ▼ 80 |
| Ronaldo Caiado | 0% | — | — |
| Romeu Zema | 0% | — | — |
| Camilo Santana | 0% | — | — |
| Geraldo Alckmin | 0% | — | — |
| Eduardo Leite | 0% | — | — |
| Aldo Rebelo | 0% | — | — |
| Tereza Cristina | 0% | — | — |
| Helder Barbalho | 0% | — | — |
| Pablo Marçal | 0% | — | — |
| Augusto Cury | 0% | — | — |
| Person O | 0% | — | — |
| Person P | 0% | — | — |
| Person Q | 0% | — | — |
| Person R | 0% | — | — |
| Person S | 0% | — | — |
| Person T | 0% | — | — |
| Person U | 0% | — | — |
| Person V | 0% | — | — |
| Person W | 0% | — | — |
| Person X | 0% | — | — |
| Person Y | 0% | — | — |
| Person Z | 0% | — | — |
| Other | 0% | — | — |
Price history
Resolution rules
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Oct 26, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on Brazil Presidential Election?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.