Louisiana-Monroe vs Grand Canyon: Grand Canyon 94% ▲ 97Nicotine product point of sale spend array i… 97% ▲ 97US crude oil inventories for the week ending… 80% ▲ 80How many U.S. reps vote to impeach Hegseth b… 95% ▲ 80Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Jan 1… 4% ▼ 76Pete Hegseth impeached by...: December 31, 2… 3% ▼ 75What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 74% ▲ 75What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 65% ▲ 63Anthropic IPO Date: November 19 80% ▲ 55Will Iran target Oman by...: December 31 76% ▲ 53Hersonissos 3: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Cezar Cre… 60% ▲ 48Will Iran target Oman by...: November 30 74% ▲ 48LG Sakers vs. Seoul Knights: LG Sakers vs Se… 95% ▲ 48What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 50% ▲ 47Next Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released… 79% ▲ 47WTA Finals Doubles, Group 2 (Doubles): Sinia… 94% ▲ 44Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Big Bash League, Women: Perth Scorchers vs S… 89% ▲ 39Lima: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Tomas Barrios: … 71% ▲ 38"You Can See Everything" total domestic gros… 72% ▲ 37"You Can See Everything" total domestic gros… 28% ▼ 37How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: <$… 48% ▲ 35Fed decisions (Oct-Jan): Pause-Hike-Hike 44% ▲ 34Which of these people will be impeached firs… 48% ▼ 33Louisiana-Monroe vs Grand Canyon: Grand Canyon 94% ▲ 97Nicotine product point of sale spend array i… 97% ▲ 97US crude oil inventories for the week ending… 80% ▲ 80How many U.S. reps vote to impeach Hegseth b… 95% ▲ 80Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Jan 1… 4% ▼ 76Pete Hegseth impeached by...: December 31, 2… 3% ▼ 75What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 74% ▲ 75What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 65% ▲ 63Anthropic IPO Date: November 19 80% ▲ 55Will Iran target Oman by...: December 31 76% ▲ 53Hersonissos 3: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Cezar Cre… 60% ▲ 48Will Iran target Oman by...: November 30 74% ▲ 48LG Sakers vs. Seoul Knights: LG Sakers vs Se… 95% ▲ 48What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 50% ▲ 47Next Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released… 79% ▲ 47WTA Finals Doubles, Group 2 (Doubles): Sinia… 94% ▲ 44Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Big Bash League, Women: Perth Scorchers vs S… 89% ▲ 39Lima: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Tomas Barrios: … 71% ▲ 38"You Can See Everything" total domestic gros… 72% ▲ 37"You Can See Everything" total domestic gros… 28% ▼ 37How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: <$… 48% ▲ 35Fed decisions (Oct-Jan): Pause-Hike-Hike 44% ▲ 34Which of these people will be impeached firs… 48% ▼ 33

Arequipa Mayoral Election Winner Odds

This market has resolved: Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes. Final prices are below.

Polymarket Volume $28.2K Ended Oct 5, 2026 Updated Nov 11, 5:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes ✓
100% — ▲ 8
Andrés Eliseo Risueño Portugal
0% — ▼ 1
Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy
0% — ▼ 19
Elizabeth Genesis Amado Quispe
0% — —
Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera
0% — —
Lizbeth Zavala Vilca
0% — —
Juan Roberto Muñoz Pinto
0% — —
Yamel Deyson Romero Peralta
0% — —
Deyanira Yajaira Salazar Rivera
0% — ▼ 10
José Miguel Briones Silva
0% — ▼ 1
Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna
0% — —
Mauricio Cáceres Cáceres
0% — —
Javier Antonio Onofre Ccama
0% — —
Jorge Luis Reyes Luján Martínez
0% — —
Isidro Flores Sosa
0% — —
Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar
0% — —
Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga
0% — —
Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa
0% — ▼ 1
Lorenzo Filomeno Colque Arias
0% — ▼ 4
Alfredo Álvarez Díaz
0% — —
Person A
0% — —
Person B
0% — —
Person C
0% — —
Person D
0% — —
Person E
0% — —
Person F
0% — —
Person G
0% — —
Person H
0% — —
Person I
0% — —
Person J
0% — —
Person K
0% — —
Person L
0% — —
Person M
0% — —
Person N
0% — —
Person O
0% — —
Person P
0% — —
Person Q
0% — —
Person R
0% — —
Person S
0% — —
Person T
0% — —

Showing the top 40 of 47 outcomes.

Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Nov 9 Nov 10
Andrés Eliseo Risueño PortugalAlfredo Willy Benavente GodoyElizabeth Genesis Amado Quispe

Resolution rules

The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Polymarket lists Oct 5, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.

Where can I trade on Arequipa Mayoral Election Winner?

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