AP calls the Alaska Senate race by... Odds
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| November 8 | 2% | +4662 | — |
| November 15 | 14% | +641 | ▼ 3 |
| November 22 | 92% | -1076 | ▼ 0 |
| November 30 | 96% | -2122 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press (AP) calls the winner of the 2026 United States Senate general election in Alaska between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A call refers to the AP publicly declaring a winner of the race. A call for any candidate will qualify. Calls, projections, or declarations by any other news organization, or certification of results by the State of Alaska, will not qualify. A call made within the specified window will qualify even if it is later retracted. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Dec 1, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on AP calls the Alaska Senate race by...?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.