Alaska Governor Election Winner Odds
Polymarket traders give Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins a >99% chance (Kalshi: >99%).
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins | >99% | -22122 | — | >99% |
| Bernadette Wilson | <1% | +39900 | — | 1% |
| Click Bishop | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| David Bronson | <1% | +199900 | — | — |
| Adam Crum | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| Nancy Dahlstrom | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| Edna DeVries | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| Matt Heilala | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| Shelley Hughes | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| James Parkin | <1% | +199900 | — | — |
| Treg Taylor | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| Lisa Murkowski | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| Tom Begich | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| Mary Peltola | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| Hank Kroll | <1% | +199900 | — | — |
| Bruce Walden | <1% | +199900 | — | — |
| Matt Claman | <1% | +199900 | — | — |
| Lesil McGuire | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
| Gregg Brelsford | <1% | +199900 | — | — |
| Jessica Faircloth | <1% | +199900 | — | — |
| Destry J. Payne Sr. | <1% | +199900 | — | — |
| Bill Walker | <1% | +199900 | — | <1% |
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Price history
On Kalshi
The same question also trades on Kalshi. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Alaska Governor Election Winner?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins at >99%, about -22122 in American odds. On Kalshi the same outcome trades at >99%. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 4, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Alaska Governor Election Winner?
This market trades on Polymarket and a matching market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.