2027 Minnesota Senate Special Election Winner Odds
Polymarket traders give Democratic Party a 88% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 88% | -733 | ▲ 13 |
| Republican Party | 13% | +700 | ▼ 9 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the party of the winner of the 2027 Minnesota U.S. Senate special election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. For the purposes of this market, the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party (DFL) counts as the Democratic Party. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democratic Party” or “Republican Party” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the winner of this election cannot be determined by March 31, 2028, it will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in 2027 Minnesota Senate Special Election Winner?
As of Nov 11, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Democratic Party at 88%, about -733 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 4, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on 2027 Minnesota Senate Special Election Winner?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.