Will Trump visit China Odds · Donald Trump visit to China
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 97% | -2757 | ▲ 2 |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 96% | -2122 | ▼ 1 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of China after Issuance and before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 8, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Will Trump visit China?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.