Will Trump expand the H-1B program Odds · During Trump's term
Kalshi traders give No a 77% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 24% | +326 | — |
| No | 77% | -326 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If the number of allowable H-1B visas as of Issuance (as of certification, the cap is 65,000 visas and an additional 20,000 for advanced degrees) has been increased after Issuance and before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "Will Trump expand the H-1B program"?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price No at 77%, about -326 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 20, 2029 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Will Trump expand the H-1B program?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.