Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term Odds · Before 2029
Kalshi traders give No a 93% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 7% | +1289 | — |
| No | 93% | -1289 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If the 22nd Amendment has been repealed by a subsequent Constitutional Amendment, or if the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled in an opinion or judgment that the 22nd Amendment permits individuals to be elected to the Presidency at least thrice under at least some circumstances, before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term"?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price No at 93%, about -1289 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 21, 2029 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.